What it's Like to Run a Company that Everyone Wants to Shut Down: Freddie Mac CEO Charles Haldeman Jr. Interview

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What it's Like to Run a Company that Everyone Wants to Shut Down: Freddie Mac CEO Charles Haldeman Jr. Interview

Freddie_Mac_Logo

... We have 6,000 employees, and when they read headlines talking about a wind-down, they naturally get anxious, and that's a management challenge. The way we've handled that is to be very visible, open and transparent. ...Read more

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As Renting Demand Goes Up, Rental Affordability Drops

For lease sign

... As rental demand surges, and supply dwindles, rents are going up, and wages are not rising to meet the new rental normal.

"These affordability problems are marching up the income scale," notes JCHS's Eric Belsky. "It means more people have less money to spend on household necessities such as food, health care, and savings."Read more

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A False Buyers Market?

Home for Sale/Credit: Comstock

... At a focus group earlier this month, the mood among buyers was "nasty," says Glenn Kelman, chief executive of Redfin Corp., a Seattle-based brokerage that operates in nine states. "There's a shortage of attractive inventory," he says. "Customers just keep getting outbid on the houses that they want."Read more

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Attack on NAR's "Most Affordable Real Estate in a Generation" Claim

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Attack on NAR's "Most Affordable Real Estate in a Generation" Claim

First Time Homebuyers/Credit: Brand X Pictures

... All of this leads to our present discussion of Home Affordability. Back in 2008, I wrote an analysis of the Realtors’ model titled “NAR Housing Affordability Index is Worthless.” As you can see from the chart below, during the entire boom period of 1996-2006, there was but ONE MONTH where the NAR index said homes were not affordable. Indeed, that chart period extends from 1985 to 2008 — there was but a single month of over-priced houses. ...Read more

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It Does Exist. A Government Foreclosure Prevention Program That Actually Works!

Foreclosure Prevention

... It’s called the Pennsylvania Homeowners Emergency Mortgage Assistance Program and was established in 1984, long before the recent mortgage crisis. The program gives bridge loans to people who have recently lost their jobs. Loans do not accrue interest until the participant’s income is restored. ...Read more

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Road to Housing Recovered Not Well-Paved

Road cracks and potholes

... Four years after U.S. housing prices began to nose-dive, eventually triggering a global financial crisis, signs of life are appearing at the top and the bottom ends of the market.

By contrast, a sustained recovery remains far off for the vast middle ground of the U.S. housing sector. ...

... "People who have decent income are saying, maybe I can trade up, buy a better property," said Bill Hardin, director of the real estate program at Florida International University.Read more

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Resistance Met on Fannie/Freddie Shut Down

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac logos

... Even in the GOP-run House, leading proponents of doing away with Fannie and Freddie aren't predicting victory. As a precaution, they're advancing eight bills taking bite-sized swipes at the issue. In the Democratic-led Senate, a sister measure by 2008 presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., faces long odds, and the Banking Committee's top Democrat and Republican are wary of quickly reshaping the market for financing home purchases. ...Read more

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5 Highlights From the Fed's New Mortgage Rules

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5 Highlights From the Fed's New Mortgage Rules

Rules and regulations books on a shelf

... The Federal Reserve proposed some new mortgage rules today that might not seem particularly radical: it wants lenders to be sure that borrowers can actually afford the loan they're given. Imagine that! While this might sound like common sense to most of us, this basic concept was pushed aside by many banks and mortgage companies during the housing bubble. As a result, loans were given to borrowers who could not repay, and ultimately defaulted. The Fed intends to force lenders to ensure that borrowers can afford loans in a few ways. ...Read more

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Mortgage Servicing Arm Costs Goldman Nearly $220 Million in 1Q

Litton Loan Servicing logo

... The investment bank saw its earnings drop 72% from one year ago, and noncompensation expenses grew 23% over the same time period to $2.6 billion. Goldman said outside of Litton, the rest of the expenses came from increased business activity and higher operating costs. The firm also set aside $24 million for litigation and regulatory proceedings in the quarter. ...

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Housing Construction 'Encouraging'

Construction of Home Pic

... Housing starts, the number of new homes being built, rose 7.2% in March to an annual rate of 549,000 units, up from a revised 512,000 in February, the Commerce Department said.

Economists had expected an annual rate 520,000 units, according to consensus estimates from Breifing.com.

The report also said there were 594,000 building permits issued in March. That's up 11% from 534,000 permits in February, and was also better than expected. ...

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Fed Aims at Mortgage Fraud

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Fed Aims at Mortgage Fraud, Shoots Housing Market in the Gut

89681539.jpg

The problem with mortgage fraud wasn't broker compensation: it was the ease of the fraud and the incentives throughout the food chain for collusion. New Fed rules simply wipe out competitors to the "too big to fail" mortgage banks.

Why are we not surprised that the Fed took aim at mortgage fraud and ended up shooting the housing market in the gut. Here's a simple guide to what's good and bad for housing:

Things which makes it easier and cheaper to borrow money: good.

Things which make it harder and more expensive to borrow money: bad.Read more

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Americans Shun Cheapest Homes in 40 Years as Owning Loses Appeal

First Time Homebuyers/Credit: Brand X Pictures

... The most affordable real estate in a generation is failing to lure buyers as Americans like Pauli sour on the idea of home ownership. At the end of 2010, the fourth year of the housing collapse, the share of people who said a home was a safe investment dropped to 64 percent from 70 percent in the first quarter. The December figure was the lowest in a survey that goes back to 2003, when it was 83 percent. ...Read more

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Fraud, Collusion and Racketeering: Big Banks at Their Best

Tommy gun

... Here’s one of the nicer things the report says about Goldman, “At the same time the firm was betting against the mortgage market as a whole, Goldman assembled and aggressively marketed to its clients poor quality CDOs that it actively bet against by taking large short positions in those transactions.” (Again you say, “That’s news?”)Read more

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Warren Says Consumer Bureau to Release Model Mortgage Forms

Elizabeth Warren

... “We’ve come up with a couple of prototypes,” Warren said today during a meeting with community bankers in Louisville, Kentucky. “In a few weeks, we’ll be ready to share those prototypes.”

Warren, 61, has made simplification of mortgage disclosure forms a centerpiece of her work at the new agency, which is scheduled to officially begin work in July. Warren has said that many of the forms now in use are duplicative. ...

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Housing in a Vicious Spiral

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Why U.S. Housing is Still in a Vicious Downward Spiral

Housing slump

... U.S. housing prices will continue to fall well into next year, continuing to put pressure on an American economy that is struggling to sustain its recovery.

That is the view from Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist with Capital Economics.

“Most analysts expect prices to stop falling by the second half of this year — we believe they’re wrong,” Mr. Dales said Monday at the Capital Economic’s annual conference in Toronto.Read more

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Big Banks are Government-Backed: Fed's Hoenig

Thomas Hoenig

... The 2008 bank bailouts at the height of the financial crisis and other implicit guarantees effectively make the largest U.S. banks government-guaranteed enterprises, like mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, said Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig.

"That's what they are," Hoenig said at the National Association of Attorneys General 2011 conference. ...

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Critics Say New Rules on Mortgage Servicers Not Tough Enough

Tough man

... Critics, who include more than 50 consumer groups, say the expected settlements do little more than require mortgage servicers to comply with existing laws and that they lack penalties. “They’re left to police their new improvements,” says Katherine Porter, a University of Iowa law professor who has studied mortgage servicers.Read more

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Free Ride To Higher Bank Earnings Could Be Ending

Bank (open vault)

... But trouble in the housing market is sure to weigh on bank earnings. A sharp increase in mortgage rates over the past six months could hold back income from issuing new mortgages and refinancing existing ones. The average rate on a 30-year mortgage rose to 4.87 percent last week from 4.32 percent at the end of September, according to Freddie Mac.

JPMorgan's banking analyst Vivek Juneja says he expects the largest drop in income at banks to come from lower fees tied to new mortgages and a drop in the number of refinances.Read more

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JPMorgan Ex-Structured Product CDO Head Llodra May Face SEC Suit

JPMorgan_Chase_Bldg

... Michael Llodra, who was global head of structured-product collateralized debt obligations when he left JPMorgan, received a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission on Jan. 4 saying investigators planned to pursue civil claims against him related to the sale of a 2007 product, according to Llodra’s broker registration filings. The SEC also gave a Wells notice on Jan. 14 to Edward Steffelin, a former executive at a firm that helped manage JPMorgan’s 2007 “Squared” CDO, his brokerage records show.Read more

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Prices are Low, Mortgages Cheap!

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Prices are Low! Mortgages Cheap! But You Can't Get One

Money Fix

... Nearly a quarter of people who apply for loans are turned down, according to the Federal Reserve.

"Good borrowers with one or two blemishes on their credit are being denied credit," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

The denial rates tell only half the story. Many potential buyers aren't even applying for loans because they assume they can't get one.Read more

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Bank Superintendent Neiman Stresses National Mortgage Servicing Standard

Richard H. Neiman, Superintendent of Banks for the State of New York

..."This is doable. There are enough models out there and we know the areas we need to address," Superintendent of Banks for the New York State Banking Department Richard Neiman said in response to HousingWire inquiry about the actuality of a national standard being put in place.

A successful standard would be beneficial for consumers and the mortgage industry alike, Neiman claimed, because it will close gaps in the system for arbitrage as well as level the competition playing field. ...Read more

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Bernanke: There Is No Inflation (and If There Were, We Could Stop It)

Ben Bernanke Pic

... If you want to drive a rational economic-type of person crazy, simply mimic Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's willful refusal to acknowledge seemingly obvious inflationary trends.

You can start by quoting Dr. Bernanke's observations on the ramp in commodity prices, made Monday night:

"I think the increase will be transitory, that it will pass, and we will go back to a level of inflation that is consistent with our price stability mandate."

Let's run through a quick list of objections one could make to this seemingly benign comment. ...

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Taylor Bean Ex-Chairman Farkas Ran Conspiracy, Former President Testifies

Taylor, Bean & Whitaker Mortgage Corp. logo

Taylor, Bean & Whitaker Mortgage Corp.’s former chairman, Lee Farkas, ordered data sent to Colonial Bank for nonexistent loans in an effort to cover up the company’s growing deficits, a company ex-president said.

Raymond Bowman, 45, testifying yesterday for the government in federal court in Alexandria, Virginia, said Farkas in 2003 explained that the sale of “dummy” loans, known as Plan B, were necessary to prevent Taylor Bean from going out of business.Read more

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Subprime Mortgage Bonds Become Attractive

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Are Subprime Mortgages Returning?

Toxic cocktail

... Investors are not really after exposure to newly originated subprime mortgages, at least not according to this report. Instead, they're after the subprime bonds that are already in the marketplace for two reasons. First, the securities were likely very undervalued as distressed assets when the crisis peaked. Those prices were partially a consequence of uncertainty and panic, along with weak fundamentals. Investors will still get a nice discount and high yields -- just not the fire sale prices available a few years ago.Read more

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On Raising the G-Fee

money from a hat

One of the eight GSE reform bills to be debated tomorrow afternoon is aimed at making Fannie and Freddie charge a more appropriate fee for the guarantee they provide (a "g-fee"). The bill, introduced by Rep. Neugebauer (R-TX), instructs FHFA to determine what the market would charge as a g-fee if they were setting the price. Put another way, if Fannie and Freddie were private companies with no government support, what fee would they charge to guarantee payment on mortgage-backed securities to investors? Certainly higher than their current fee, which is subsidized.Read more

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BofA Was Pressed by SEC for Disclosure on Reserves for Mortgage Buybacks

Bank of America (illuminated sign)

... “Discuss the level and type of repurchase requests you are receiving, and any trends that have been identified, including your success rates in avoiding settling the claim,” the Securities and Exchange Commission said in a Jan. 29, 2010, letter to the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank that was released today. “Tell us and disclose in future filings how you establish repurchase reserves for various representations and warranties that you have made.”Read more

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Elizabeth Warren Defends Consumer Bureau's Role in Settlement Talks

Elizabeth Warren

... However, she rejected claims from some House Republicans that she or anyone at the agency overreached in offering that advice, noting that the agency is not involved in any direct negotiations with mortgage servicers.

The letter comes in response to accusations from Republicans that Warren downplayed the role the CFPB had played in settlement talks when she testified before the House Financial Services Committee on March 16.Read more

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Wells Fargo's John Stumpf: How to Fix the Mortgage Mess

Wells Fargo logo

... Some people ask, Why do we even need a secondary market for home mortgages? Why don't we just go back to the good old days before those markets existed and require banks to hang on to all the mortgages they create?Read more

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Housing Finance Policy Reform Set to Begin

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Housing Finance Policy Reform Finally Set to Begin in Congress

Congress Pic

... Republicans have been calling for housing finance policy reform since the financial regulation battle began in 2009. As part of that fight, Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) created a bill that would wind down Fannie and Freddie over the course of two to five years. The legislation did not make it into the regulation bill. He re-introduced the bill last week. According to Peter Schroeder at The Hill, Republicans believe a scatter-shot approach will be most effective. So we can expect to see a number of smaller bills offered, rather than one big, sweeping piece of legislation.Read more

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Basel Said to Consider 3-Point Surcharge on Biggest Banks

Bank (open vault)

Global regulators are considering a capital surcharge for the world’s largest banks that may force them to hold as much as three percentage points more reserves than other lenders, according to two people familiar with the discussions.Read more

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Housing Raises US Recession Alert

Alert sign

If housing is the primary force behind the U.S. economic cycle, then the recession early warning bells just started ringing.

Sales of new single-family homes recorded a shocking fall in February, tumbling by 16.9 percent, to a seasonally adjusted 250,000 annual rate, hitting the lowest such figures since records began in 1963.

New home sales are down 28 percent compared to a year ago and the inventory of unsold new homes is now equal to 8.9 months of sales.Read more

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Comparing Housing Prices, Real vs Nominal (1890-2011) (Big Chart!)

Big housing chart

Following the record low data in New Home Sales yesterday, we looked at a 50 year chart of that plumbed the depths of that data series. Today, I want to expand upon that and look at a 120 year chart of real vs. nominal home prices, via Visualizing Economics.

There are a few noteworthy items on the chart: The Great Depression saw Housing prices collapse, but in real terms the price of housing had been slowing for a while (for many reasons).Read more

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Mortgage Principal Reduction in Play

Foreclosure_Crooked_Sign_Pic

This week state attorneys general from Virginia, Texas, Florida and South Carolina sent a letter to their colleague in Iowa, Attorney General Tom Miller.

He is leading the 50 state investigation into the so-called "robo-signing" foreclosure paperwork scandal.

Recently he presented the group with a 'term sheet' of a possible settlement with the big banks.

While there were no exact details, it sets up certain loss mitigation requirements which could include principal reduction for troubled loans.Read more

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Fannie and Freddie Didn't Cause the Financial Meltdown

Meltdown Pic

... We found that the $5 trillion mortgage exposure and market position of the GSEs contributed to the financial meltdown. But, contrary to conventional wisdom in certain inside-the-Beltway circles, Fannie and Freddie were not a primary cause of the crisis.Read more

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Regulators Craft Mortgage-Lending Rules

Caution Tape (Yellow)

... One option would exempt loans with at least a 10 percent down payment. The other option - supported by the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Curency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation - would exempt loans with a 20 percent down payment. ...

... Since the debate on risk retention began, some in the lending industry have said that many lenders might respond by making fewer loans, raising interest rates or both. That could have a chilling effect on lending and derail the housing market's chances of recovering, critics said.Read more

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Without Loan Giants, 30-Year Mortgage May Fade Away

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac logos

... Lenders could charge fees for popular features now taken for granted, like the ability to “lock in” an interest rate weeks or months before taking out a loan.

Life without Fannie and Freddie is the rare goal shared by the Obama administration and House Republicans, although it will not happen soon. Congress must agree on a plan, which could take years, and then the market must be weaned slowly from dependence on the companies and the financial backing they provide.Read more

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Obama Administration's Foreclosure Program Shambles Along

Foreclosure_Crooked_Sign_Pic

... The latest monthly release shows, however, that more than 800,000 homeowners have been bounced out of HAMP as of January.

So-called permanent modifications, which last for five years, typically reduce struggling borrowers' monthly payments by roughly $500 through reductions in the interest rate, extensions of the mortgage terms and temporary forbearance (though not forgiveness) of principal owed.Read more

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Mortgage Deduction Under Renewed Scrutiny

Taxpayer Dollars Pic

... Despite the buzz, it will be difficult to revamp a tax deduction that's been in place for nearly a century. The housing industry's powerful lobby is sure to fight any proposal that it believes would discourage home-buying, particularly given the weakness of the housing market. Both Congress and the White House would have to approve any change to the tax code, but they could be reluctant to take on such a controversial issue before the 2012 presidential election.Read more

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S&P Maintains Negative Outlook for Mortgage Insurers

Standard & Poors logo

... "Our expectation that mortgage insurers could report operating profits in 2012 — some in late 2011 at the earliest — hinges on the idea that the fragile U.S. economy and housing markets won't suffer significant setbacks," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Ron Joas. "If unemployment were to increase, new notices of delinquencies could rise once again, and mortgage insurers would likely continue to lose money through 2012." ...

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How to Fix Mortgage Lending: Rein in The Regulators

How to Fix Mortgage Lending: Rein in The Regulators

Scales of Justice/Credit: Thomas Northcut

Over at Barry Ritholtz’s “The Big Picture,” Bill Black has been publishing a series of posts on how mortgage lending should be regulated. Black, who is the author of “The Best Way to Rob A Bank Is to Own One,” does an admirable job at pointing out how pervasive fraud arises and undermines market discipline.

Unfortunately, his proposals for changing the mortgage lending system to counter fraud just won’t work.Read more

Senator Paul Introduces Bill To Wipe Out HUD Funding

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Sen. Paul Introduces Bill That Would Wipe Out HUD Funding

Newly installed Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul has introduced a bill that seeks a $500 billion reduction in budget cuts, including a 100 percent decrease in funding to the U.S. Department of Housing & Urban Development (HUD). The verbiage of the bill calls for all accounts and programs of HUD to be "defunded" if the bill were to take effect. The bill, however, does have a provision transferring the veteran programs administered by HUD to the U.S Department of Veterans Affairs. Read more

LO Compensation Guidance Gets 11th Hour Treatment by Federal Reserve

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has announced the release of its "Compliance Guide to Small Entities" regarding Regulation Z: Loan Originator Compensation and Steering. The Compliance Guide summarizes and explains rules adopted by the Board, but is not a substitute for the final rule itself, which will be enforced come April 1, 2011. Regulation Z; Docket No. R-1366, Truth-in-Lending was originally published in the Federal Register on Sept. Read more

Mortgage Apps Decrease 12.9 Percent in Latest MBA Survey

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) has released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending Jan. 21, 2011. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 12.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 12 percent compared with the previous week. The results do not include an adjustment for the Martin Luther King holiday. Read more

Fed Had Warnings But Chose to Disregard Them

Alan Greenspan's housing bubble coffee break

New evidence that the Federal Reserve had ample warning trouble was brewing in 2005, but chose to ignore it

Kiss 4% Rates Goodbye

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Kiss 4% Mortgage Rates Goodbye

...Higher interest rates may even prove stimulating to the still quiet housing market in which sales volume and prices are scraping near their bottoms.

"The initial phase of an interest rate increase generally does not hurt markets," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors. "In fact, it can help."

The rapid rise introduces an element of urgency for potential homebuyers. They may now rush to buy before rates spurt even more.Read more

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Moody's Takes Action on Billions More RMBS

Moody's Corp.'s (MCO)

Moody's Investors Service downgraded another $6 billion of adjustable-rate mortgage residential mortgage-backed securities issued by Wachovia.

The four tranches of securities are backed by option-ARM loans. Wells Fargo Bank is the master servicer and is obligated to repurchase loans more than 90-days due. Moody's said the ratings on the RMBS are the higher of Wells Fargo's long-term issuer rating and the rating on the RMBS based on the credit strength of the underlying mortgage pool...

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Wall Street Visits Washington About Dodd-Frank

U.S. Treasury on US currency

Wall Street officials spent a lot of time in Washington last month, according to the Treasury Department’s release of its November agenda for meetings on the influential Dodd-Frank financial overhaul law...

...On Nov. 4, Treasury officials met with Lawrence Summers, former Treasury secretary and then-director of the White House’s National Economic Council. Officials from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and the giant hedge fund Fortress Investment Group also were there. The topic of discussion: government-sponsored enterprises, like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

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Mortgage News Ticker

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Fannie Mae Prohibits Technology Vendors from Charging Attorneys

Fannie_Mae_Logo

Attorneys and trustees assigned a Fannie Mae mortgage loan can no longer be charged any technology or electronic invoice submission fees by the servicer or a third-party vendor used by the servicer effective Feb. 1, 2011...

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Will the Housing Market Continue to Decline?

Declining Markets Pic

The quick answer to the headline of this article seems to be yes. The volume of housing that is in mortgage trouble is rising as prices drop in vulnerable markets around the country. There isn't a sufficient floor of buyers in those markets to stop further declines and foreclosure sales that appear to be on the horizon. It depends on the market. For example, the recent Case-Shiller 20 cities report shows that coastal California has had a positive trend: Los Angeles +4.4%; San Diego +5.0%, and San Francisco +5.5%.Read more

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Consumer Bureau Enforcer Sees Newly Strengthened State Role

Richard Cordray Pic

Richard Cordray, the Ohio attorney general who will lead enforcement for the new Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection, said state officials will play a large role in making sure laws are enforced in a “consistent, sensible but robust way,” as a result of the Dodd-Frank regulatory overhaul.Read more

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JPMorgan Sees 'Fairly Attractive' MBS Sector

JPMorgan_Chase_Bldg

JPMorgan Securities said mortgage-backed securities spreads have been volatile lately but analysts continue to believe the sector remains "fairly attractive."

Analysts said the thinness of the market was evident in the 20-basis point swing during trading Thursday, and dealers are reducing risk, while the Federal Reserve is done purchasing MBS this year and hedge funds are less active as 2010 winds down.

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Wells Fargo Surpasses JPMorgan in Size

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Wells Fargo Surpasses JPMorgan to Become Biggest U.S. Bank by Market Value

WellsFargoLogo

...Wells Fargo’s market capitalization rose to $157.6 billion at the close of New York trading yesterday, surpassing JPMorgan’s $156.4 billion. Wells Fargo is ranked fourth by assets and deposits, while JPMorgan is second behind Bank of America Corp. and New York-based Citigroup Inc. is third...Read more

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In Marketing of a New Mortgage Fund, Pimco Lists Former Bush Officials

PIMCO

...In a confidential presentation to investors, Pimco listed as either consultants or employees an all-star constellation of former federal officials, including Mr. Greenspan; Joshua B. Bolten, who was White House chief of staff under George W. Bush; and Neel T. Kashkari, who ran the Wall Street bailout program for the Treasury department.

Those former officials, as well as others hired by Pimco, helped set national economic policy during the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008, which was prompted by the collapse of the housing market.Read more

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Banks to Fed: Water Down Mortgage Rule

Bank (open vault)

Banks have opened up a new front in their battle with homeowners over faulty foreclosures -- they are asking the Federal Reserve to water down homeowners' rights to put the kibosh on mortgages based on misstatements.
And time is of the essence in this battle. Banks hope to win the concessions before July 2011, when the newly formed Consumer Financial Protection Bureau takes over regulation of this issue. Banks fear the CFPB will be less sympathetic to their cause, according to Bloomberg, which reported on the matter yesterday.Read more

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FHA Rallies Brokers on Mortgage Principal Plan

Money being cut up

U.S. borrowers stymied by lenders that refuse to cut their mortgage principal to market levels should just keep trying, as lenders may have a change of heart, an Obama administration official said on Thursday.

A Federal Housing Administration staffer, hosting one of four conference calls to brief brokers on its "short refinance" program this week, confronted a few critics among routine questions about a plan that addresses the massive problem of homeowner equity lost during the housing slump. The FHA is part of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.Read more

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